Today’s biggest bets and line moves: Sharps on Nuggets’ series odds vs. Spurs
The NBA’s second season kicks off its two-month run as the playoffs get underway Saturday. Covers checks in on the action and odds movement for the three later contests on today’s docket, with insights from Tony DiTommaso, risk manager for CG Technology sportsbooks in Las Vegas.
Throughout much of the season, Denver surprisingly gave Golden State a run for its money in the race for the No. 1 seed, ultimately settling for No. 2. The Nuggets (54-28 SU, 42-40 ATS) topped Minnesota 99-95 in the regular-season finale, falling well short of cashing as 12.5-point home favorites Wednesday.
San Antonio’s days as a perennial title contender have passed, but Gregg Popovich’s troops had a solid season, nonetheless. The Spurs (48-34 SU, 43-37-2 ATS) won four of their last five games, including a 105-94 victory over Dallas as hefty 14-point faves Wednesday.
“We’re still at Nuggets -5.5, with good two-way at that number. We’re waiting to see what the bettors do with that,” DiTommaso said of action on the last game of the day, a 10:30 p.m. ET tipoff. “Sharps laid the series price on the Nuggets, at -220 and -230. That’s an indicator that they’re gonna bet Denver in Game 1. But having said that, I think the series is gonna get two-way action throughout.”
Toronto is a solid No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and looks to hold home court in this 5 p.m. ET meeting. The Raptors (58-24 SU, 38-44 ATS) went 6-1 SU in their last seven regular-season games (6-2 ATS), rolling over Minnesota 120-100 laying 8 points on the road Tuesday.
Orlando enters the postseason having won four in a row and five of six as it jumped over Detroit to take the No. 7 seed. The Magic (42-40 SU, 45-36-1 ATS) finished with road wins at Boston and Charlotte, beating the Hornets 122-114 as 4-point underdogs Wednesday.
“Really not much business on this game,” DiTommaso said. “Sharp guys took the 9 with Orlando right out of the chute, and we’re at 8.5.”
However, later Saturday morning, CG books ticked back up to 9.
Golden State is again the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, though not No. 1 overall, as Milwaukee took that honor this year. The Warriors (57-25 SU, 35-46-1 ATS) went on a late six-game win streak (4-2 ATS) before losing the regular-season finale at Memphis 132-117 giving 5.5 points Wednesday.
Los Angeles proved to be a far-better Tinseltown team than the LeBron James-led Lakers, going 48-34 SU (45-36-1 ATS), though that was only enough for the eighth seed in a very competitive Western Conference. The Clippers wrapped up with a 143-137 overtime victory against Utah as 8-point home faves Wednesday.
“We opened at 12.5, the market has gone to 13, and we just went to 13. Nobody is doing anything on that number right now,” DiTommaso said, while noting the total has gone from 232 to 233 for this 8 p.m. ET contest. “They’ve bet the Over some, and we’ll get action on the Warriors on all the parlays.”
Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.