Value in Russell prop with Bucks coasting to finish, and today’s NBA odds and best bets
Saturday’s NBA card is a small one with only two games scheduled, however there is still lots of value to be found as some teams compete for playoff positioning, while others compete for their playoff lives. We’re here to bring you the must-read notes from around the Association to help you make the best wagers.
Finding early success
The Nets travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks who aim for the series sweep. Milwaukee has won 32-of-38 home games this season, and 13 of the most recent 14 in the head-to-head.
Brooklyn have struggled in the first quarter of games averaging only 26.9 on the season, and an exceptionally low 19.7 over their most recent three games. Milwaukee have started games off strong, especially recently averaging 36 first quarter points over their most recent three. Look for Milwaukee to get out to an early start and back Milwaukee on the first quarter spread of 2-points.
Playing it cautious
Most of the Nets success hinges on D’Angelo Russell who is having a career year averaging 21.1 points a game and his field goal attempts are up just shy of five a game from last season. In the two starts he suited up in versus Milwaukee, Russell attempted no less than 20 shots a game, and although his field goal percentage was poor, he still logged 18 and 28 points.
Milwaukee’s Khris Middleton is also having a fantastic year, however he only played 25 minutes last time out after missing two games with an injury. With the Bucks in the driver’s seat in the East, he might see another game with less than 30 minutes on the court. Take Russell in the “player points head to head D” to outscore Middleton.
Playing the best on their own court
The 76ers travel to Chicago to take on the Bulls as 9-point road favorites. The Bulls are just hoping for one last home win after a super disappointing season but will have to do so without almost every single player who would be in the starting lineup if healthy.
When these two teams meet up, offenses have clicked early with the average first half score 63-61 in favor of the 76ers over their most recent three games. With Philadelphia averaging 61.5 first half points ranking them first in the Association, and the Bulls playing loose, back the first half game total Over 116.
Making the most of an NBA opportunity
The Bulls will have Walter Lemon Jr. starting at the point for the fourth straight game. He has been solid in two of three efforts making 11 of 16 with eight dimes last time out versus the Wizards. This is a big opportunity for Lemon Jr., who played majority of his career in the G League.
Look for Lemon Jr. to continue to shoot the ball well versus a 76ers defense allowing opponents to shoot 48.2 percent from the floor over their most recent three games, and back Over his points, rebounds, assists total Over 22.5.
Cleaning up the boards
There aren’t a lot of players on the court that do much rebounding for the Bulls, but as of late, Timothe Luwawu has been logging more minutes. Three games back had a 10 rebounding night versus the Raptors, and his experience might work to his advantage. With the total set low and the minutes upside, back Over his rebounding total of 3.5.